Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#304
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#306
Pace71.0#118
Improvement+1.4#121

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#218
First Shot-2.7#262
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#95
Layup/Dunks-6.1#342
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#183
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#89
Freethrows+1.5#65
Improvement+2.3#78

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#326
First Shot-4.8#319
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#317
Layups/Dunks-2.9#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#322
Freethrows+0.0#183
Improvement-0.9#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 92 - 15
Quad 46 - 88 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2019 45   @ North Carolina St. L 65-84 4%     0 - 1 -6.0 -7.0 +2.3
  Nov 17, 2019 67   @ Clemson L 65-87 5%     0 - 2 -11.3 -2.3 -8.2
  Nov 19, 2019 227   @ Wyoming L 49-76 24%     0 - 3 -27.8 -22.4 -4.7
  Nov 24, 2019 116   UC Irvine W 86-74 14%     1 - 3 +15.8 +8.1 +6.7
  Nov 25, 2019 219   Louisiana L 62-81 33%     1 - 4 -22.4 -18.8 -1.9
  Nov 30, 2019 158   @ Ohio L 81-91 14%     1 - 5 -6.4 +7.2 -13.3
  Dec 03, 2019 124   @ Kent St. L 57-92 10%     1 - 6 -29.1 -17.0 -10.5
  Dec 07, 2019 200   Eastern Michigan L 51-55 38%     1 - 7 -9.0 -17.1 +7.9
  Dec 10, 2019 51   @ Notre Dame L 71-110 4%     1 - 8 -26.7 -0.7 -24.3
  Dec 14, 2019 154   Toledo L 72-80 28%     1 - 9 -10.1 -1.7 -8.7
  Dec 19, 2019 147   Northeastern L 61-74 27%     1 - 10 -14.6 -9.4 -6.1
  Dec 21, 2019 330   SIU Edwardsville W 81-55 73%     2 - 10 +11.5 +8.3 +5.3
  Dec 28, 2019 235   @ Oakland L 69-78 26%     2 - 11 0 - 1 -10.2 -6.6 -3.4
  Dec 30, 2019 2   @ Gonzaga L 72-93 1%     2 - 12 +1.3 +4.2 -2.2
  Jan 03, 2020 145   Northern Kentucky W 66-58 27%     3 - 12 1 - 1 +6.4 -7.6 +13.8
  Jan 05, 2020 127   Wright St. L 69-70 23%     3 - 13 1 - 2 -1.2 -1.3 +0.1
  Jan 09, 2020 310   @ Cleveland St. L 59-64 40%     3 - 14 1 - 3 -10.4 -10.7 +0.0
  Jan 11, 2020 225   @ Youngstown St. L 67-69 24%     3 - 15 1 - 4 -2.7 -6.0 +3.2
  Jan 16, 2020 272   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 90-84 32%     4 - 15 2 - 4 +2.8 +9.3 -7.1
  Jan 18, 2020 218   @ Green Bay L 80-83 22%     4 - 16 2 - 5 -3.0 -1.4 -1.4
  Jan 23, 2020 329   IUPUI W 76-64 73%     5 - 16 3 - 5 -2.4 -7.9 +5.4
  Jan 25, 2020 193   Illinois-Chicago W 70-69 37%     6 - 16 4 - 5 -3.7 +2.6 -6.2
  Jan 31, 2020 235   Oakland L 64-77 47%     6 - 17 4 - 6 -20.2 -11.4 -9.0
  Feb 06, 2020 127   @ Wright St. L 86-98 10%     6 - 18 4 - 7 -6.2 +9.8 -15.1
  Feb 08, 2020 145   @ Northern Kentucky L 65-84 12%     6 - 19 4 - 8 -14.6 -5.1 -9.2
  Feb 13, 2020 225   Youngstown St. L 72-76 45%     6 - 20 4 - 9 -10.8 +0.7 -11.8
  Feb 15, 2020 310   Cleveland St. L 66-67 OT 63%     6 - 21 4 - 10 -12.5 -11.4 -1.0
  Feb 21, 2020 218   Green Bay L 67-84 42%     6 - 22 4 - 11 -23.0 -11.9 -11.3
  Feb 23, 2020 272   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-73 55%     7 - 22 5 - 11 -3.3 +2.4 -5.8
  Feb 27, 2020 193   @ Illinois-Chicago L 67-84 19%     7 - 23 5 - 12 -15.6 -5.3 -9.5
  Feb 29, 2020 329   @ IUPUI W 90-88 51%     8 - 23 6 - 12 -6.4 +5.6 -12.1
Projected Record 8 - 23 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%